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Pembina Investor Saham Pemula (ISP) Tito Sulistio. (Dok. Citizen Daily Net).

Tito Sulistio: Bukan Perang Dagang, Faktor Ini Yang Menyebabkan IHSG Longsor ke Level 5.000 an

EmitenNews.com – Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) masih dalam kondisi tertekan. Terakhir, posisi IHSG malah longsor ke level 5.826,86 atau anjlok hingga 1,17% pada perdagangan akhir pekan Jumat, 17 Mei 2019.

Perang dagang yang terus memanas, digadang-gadang jadi penyebab runtuhnya IHSG oleh beberapa pengamat pasar modal. Kondisi tersebut mendorong investor asing menarik dananya dari pasar modal.

Namun mantan Direktur Utama Bursa Efek Indonesia, Tito Sulistio punya pandangan sendiri terkait penurunan IHSG. Menurutnya Perang dagang bukan penyebab utama runtuhnya IHSG.

“Prinsip jangan salahkan perang dagang dan bukan penyebab utama IHSG & market cap turun (hampir Rp1.000 triliun , dari puncaknya),” kata Tito di Jakarta, Minggu, 19 Mei 2019.

Ia mengungkapkan banyak hal yang menyebabkan IHSG longsor hingga menuju level 5.000. Diantaranya, ketatnya portfolio dana pensiun & asuransi, penarikan dana baik oleh investor retail menuju Lebaran atau penahanan dana oleh industri & bahkan pemerintah sepertinya untuk persiapan THR semua kompak menurunkan dana di bursa.

Selain itu growth profit emiten di kuartal I 2019 yang relatif kecil hanya 6% bisa jadi pemicu utama. Terlebih saat ini PER average IDX berada disekitar 17%, masih relatif mahal dibanding negara tetangga.

“Tapi artinya pada PER yang sama IHSG tahun-tahun kemarin bisa dilevel 6.300 an karena growtnya yang lebih baik,” jelasnya.

Tito pun menjelaskan turunnya IHSG adalah yang terbesar. Di ASEAN hanya IDX & bursa Malaysia year to date nya turun, sementara Bursa Singapura,Thailand, Philippines & dan Vietnam bahkan masih positif +9.4%.

“Tapi menariknya IDX dengan 435.000 transaksi/ perhari masih paling aktif, dan kalau dilihat 10 tahun terakhir, IDX masih bursa yang memberikan return terbesar, diluar Nasdaq (biggest yield for longterm investor),” terang Tito.

Dengan kondisi tersebut, ujarnya apakah IHSG bisa menuju 5.500? Hal ini kembali lagi perlu reaksi aktif dari otoritas, setidaknya untuk menahan investor yang mau kabur dari pasar.

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